Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.476346 0.524585 0.576414 0.636373 0.703991 0.778073 0.865635
2025-10-05 0.405222 0.473552 0.552419 0.650770 0.770951 0.914077 1.098991
2025-10-12 0.363320 0.441644 0.536497 0.661026 0.821994 1.025505 1.306237
2025-10-19 0.331084 0.415134 0.520876 0.665577 0.861431 1.121705 1.501316
2025-10-26 0.305518 0.393204 0.507137 0.668692 0.896290 1.212355 1.697007
2025-11-02 0.285788 0.376374 0.497497 0.674815 0.933869 1.308489 1.910477
2025-11-09 0.262445 0.352283 0.475299 0.660284 0.939013 1.356362 2.054973
2025-11-16 0.248670 0.340092 0.468252 0.666179 0.973800 1.450979 2.284037
2025-11-23 0.233460 0.324534 0.454855 0.660911 0.990129 1.517313 2.473633
2025-11-30 0.222426 0.314112 0.447957 0.664517 1.020090 1.607842 2.716163
2025-12-07 0.209306 0.299627 0.433775 0.655225 1.027634 1.660772 2.896882
2025-12-14 0.197578 0.286440 0.420569 0.646207 1.034366 1.712256 3.080935
2025-12-21 0.183056 0.268291 0.398746 0.621826 1.013261 1.713235 3.169325
2025-12-28 0.178008 0.264586 0.399508 0.635204 1.059676 1.842882 3.538604
2026-01-04 0.172654 0.260006 0.398445 0.645184 1.100630 1.966549 3.915415
2026-01-11 0.166624 0.253938 0.394466 0.649604 1.131448 2.073638 4.273528
2026-01-18 0.160795 0.247832 0.389974 0.652629 1.159680 2.178460 4.644327
2026-01-25 0.155909 0.242987 0.387264 0.658575 1.193977 2.299643 5.076032
2026-02-01 0.147952 0.232555 0.374295 0.644463 1.186782 2.331024 5.289005
2026-02-08 0.143805 0.228371 0.371960 0.650188 1.220466 2.455934 5.767445
2026-02-15 0.138220 0.221418 0.364301 0.645072 1.230957 2.529590 6.122279
2026-02-22 0.134305 0.217160 0.361205 0.648575 1.260003 2.649568 6.630645
2026-03-01 0.128801 0.209840 0.352137 0.639549 1.260912 2.702569 6.955397